dc.contributor.author | Barentsen, Geert | |
dc.contributor.author | Arlt, Rainer | |
dc.contributor.author | Fröhlich, Hans-Erich | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2013-07-31T09:48:04Z | |
dc.date.available | 2013-07-31T09:48:04Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2011-10 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Barentsen , G , Arlt , R & Fröhlich , H-E 2011 , ' Estimating meteor rates using Bayesian inference ' , WGN, Journal of the International Meteor Organization , vol. 39 , no. 5 , pp. 126-130 . | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1016-3115 | |
dc.identifier.other | ArXiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1112.4372v1 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2299/11235 | |
dc.description.abstract | A method for estimating the true meteor rate lambda from a small number of observed meteors n is derived. We employ Bayesian inference with a Poissonian likelihood function. We discuss the choice of a suitable prior and propose the adoption of Jeffreys prior, P(lambda)=lambda^-0.5, which yields an expectation value E(lambda) = n+0.5 for any n >= 0. We update the ZHR meteor activity formula accordingly, and explain how 68%- and 95%-confidence intervals can be computed. | en |
dc.format.extent | 367191 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.relation.ispartof | WGN, Journal of the International Meteor Organization | |
dc.subject | astro-ph.IM | |
dc.subject | stat.AP | |
dc.subject | astro-ph.EP | |
dc.title | Estimating meteor rates using Bayesian inference | en |
dc.contributor.institution | School of Physics, Astronomy and Mathematics | |
dc.description.status | Peer reviewed | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | |
herts.preservation.rarelyaccessed | true | |