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        Climate change and phoma stem canker

        Author
        Evans, Neal
        Fitt, Bruce D.L.
        Gladders, P.
        Attention
        2299/15186
        Abstract
        Climate change affects plants in natural and agricultural ecosystems throughout the world but little work has been done on the effects of climate change on plant disease epidemics. To illustrate such effects, a weather-based disease forecasting model was combined with a climate change model predicting UK temperature and rainfall under high and low carbon emissions for the 2020s and 2050s. Multi-site data collected over a 15-year period were used to develop and validate a weather-based model forecasting severity of phoma stem canker epidemics on oilseed rape across the UK. This was combined with climate change scenarios to predict that epidemics will not only increase in severity but also spread northwards by the 2020s
        Publication date
        2008
        Published in
        Arable cropping in a changing climate
        Other links
        http://hdl.handle.net/2299/15186
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