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dc.contributor.authorButterworth, Michael H.
dc.contributor.authorSemenov, Mikhail A.
dc.contributor.authorBarnes, Andrew
dc.contributor.authorMoran, Dominic
dc.contributor.authorWest, Jon S.
dc.contributor.authorFitt, Bruce D. L.
dc.date.accessioned2016-03-03T10:33:10Z
dc.date.available2016-03-03T10:33:10Z
dc.date.issued2010
dc.identifier.citationButterworth , M H , Semenov , M A , Barnes , A , Moran , D , West , J S & Fitt , B D L 2010 , ' North-South divide : contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England ' , Journal of The Royal Society Interface , vol. 7 , no. 42 , pp. 123-130 . https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0111
dc.identifier.issn1742-5689
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 398872
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 7295cad1-f7f9-4997-890f-d25b2f3474cc
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 000284529300013
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 72849121304
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2299/16621
dc.descriptionCorrigendum published in Journal 2011 8 (54) p.152
dc.description.abstractEffects of climate change on productivity of agricultural crops in relation to diseases that attack them are difficult to predict because they are complex and non-linear. To investigate these crop-disease-climate interactions, UKCIP02 scenarios predicting UK temperature and rainfall under high- and low-CO2 emission scenarios for the 2020s and 2050s were combined with a crop simulation model predicting yield of fungicide-treated winter oilseed rape and with a weather-based regression model predicting severity of phoma stem canker epidemics. The combination of climate scenarios and crop model predicted that climate change will increase yield of fungicide-treated oilseed rape crops in Scotland by up to 0.5 t/ha (15%). By contrast, in southern England the combination of climate scenarios, crop, disease and yield loss models predicted that climate change will increase yield losses from phoma stem canker epidemics to up to 50% (1.5 t/ha) and greatly decrease yield of untreated winter oilseed rape. The size of losses is predicted to be greater for winter oilseed rape cultivars that are susceptible than for those that are resistant to the phoma stem canker pathogen Leptosphaeria maculans. Such predictions illustrate the unexpected, contrasting impacts of aspects of climate change on crop-disease interactions in agricultural systems in different regions.en
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of The Royal Society Interface
dc.titleNorth-South divide : contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and Englanden
dc.contributor.institutionDepartment of Human and Environmental Sciences
dc.contributor.institutionHealth & Human Sciences Research Institute
dc.contributor.institutionGeography, Environment and Agriculture
dc.contributor.institutionCrop Protection and Climate Change
dc.contributor.institutionAgriculture, Food and Veterinary Sciences
dc.contributor.institutionSchool of Life and Medical Sciences
dc.contributor.institutionWeight and Obesity Research Group
dc.description.statusPeer reviewed
rioxxterms.versionAM
rioxxterms.versionAM
rioxxterms.versionofrecordhttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0111
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Review
herts.preservation.rarelyaccessedtrue


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