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dc.contributor.authorHunt, Dexter V. L.
dc.contributor.authorLombardi, D. Rachel
dc.contributor.authorAtkinson, Stuart
dc.contributor.authorBarber, Austin R. G.
dc.contributor.authorBarnes, Matthew
dc.contributor.authorBoyko, Christopher T.
dc.contributor.authorBrown, Julie
dc.contributor.authorBryson, John
dc.contributor.authorButler, David
dc.contributor.authorCaputo, Silvio
dc.contributor.authorJankovic, Ljubomir
dc.contributor.authoral., et
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-04T01:08:01Z
dc.date.available2018-10-04T01:08:01Z
dc.date.issued2012-04-20
dc.identifier.citationHunt , D V L , Lombardi , D R , Atkinson , S , Barber , A R G , Barnes , M , Boyko , C T , Brown , J , Bryson , J , Butler , D , Caputo , S , Jankovic , L & al. , E 2012 , ' Scenario Archetypes: Converging Rather than Diverging Themes ' , Sustainability , vol. 4 , no. 12 , pp. 740–772 . https://doi.org/10.3390/su4040740
dc.identifier.issn2071-1050
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 13313437
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 8ed0b28d-baf3-4107-b852-354878ed4799
dc.identifier.otherBibtex: urn:ff32b5645a433d4de96d53ebf1c8e941
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 84861412650
dc.identifier.otherORCID: /0000-0002-6974-9701/work/62751423
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2299/20678
dc.description.abstractFuture scenarios provide challenging, plausible and relevant stories about how the future could unfold. Urban Futures (UF) research has identified a substantial set (>450) of seemingly disparate scenarios published over the period 1997–2011 and within this research, a sub-set of >160 scenarios has been identified (and categorized) based on their narratives according to the structure first proposed by the Global Scenario Group (GSG) in 1997; three world types (Business as Usual, Barbarization, and Great Transitions) and six scenarios, two for each world type (Policy Reform—PR, Market Forces—MF, Breakdown—B, Fortress World—FW, Eco-Communalism—EC and New Sustainability Paradigm—NSP). It is suggested that four of these scenario archetypes (MF, PR, NSP and FW) are sufficiently distinct to facilitate active stakeholder engagement in futures thinking. Moreover they are accompanied by a well-established, internally consistent set of narratives that provide a deeper understanding of the key fundamental drivers (e.g., STEEP—Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental and Political) that could bring about realistic world changes through a push or a pull effect. This is testament to the original concept of the GSG scenarios and their development and refinement over a 16 year period.en
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartofSustainability
dc.rightsOpen
dc.titleScenario Archetypes: Converging Rather than Diverging Themesen
dc.contributor.institutionArt and Design
dc.contributor.institutionSchool of Creative Arts
dc.contributor.institutionTheorising Visual Art and Design
dc.description.statusPeer reviewed
dc.relation.schoolSchool of Creative Arts
dc.description.versiontypeFinal Published version
dcterms.dateAccepted2012-04-20
rioxxterms.versionVoR
rioxxterms.versionofrecordhttps://doi.org/10.3390/su4040740
rioxxterms.licenseref.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
rioxxterms.typeJournal Article/Review
herts.preservation.rarelyaccessedtrue
herts.rights.accesstypeOpen


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